I was looking at a Bureau of Traffic Statistics report earlier today. The average motorcycle fatality rate from 1993-2003 was 26.5 fatalities per
100,000,000 miles ridden.
That's 3,773,585 miles for every fatality.
A heavy rider might do 40 years of riding @ 8,000 miles/year that's 320,000 miles.
That's 8.5% of the time before you're "due" to die on a bike, so let's give him an 8.5% chance of dying on the bike during a lifetime of riding.
Now, the "Average" rider: 40 years of riding @ 2,000 miles/year = 80,000 lifetime miles, or a 2.2% chance of dying on the bike during a lifetime of riding.
Now, filter out wreckless, adrenaline junkie squids, helmetless/beanie
wearing barhoppers, unlicensed, untrained mouthbreathers who just had to
"lay it down." believing the coefficient of grip of points of metal is
greater than radial tires.
I'm feeling pretty good about my chances for survival. Better than the
Obviously a rider who rides 3+ million miles doesn't have a 100% chance of death, so the system isn't perfect. I know BBO has to have at least one actuary!